Weekly Regional HOG PRICE Report

Things to Consider….

The latest US Cold Storage numbers reported pork stocks at 470.9 million pounds for June, down 11.5m pounds from May and 15.9m pounds under year-ago levels. Notably, May's cold storage was revised +0.1% higher from 481.9m pounds up to 482.5m pounds.


Many pork categories recorded decreased quantities from the previous month - most notably spare-ribs and bellies which were both down seasonally. Spare-ribs dropped 12.9m pounds for June and is a modest 815 thousand pounds over last year, while belly stocks fell 11.4m pounds from May quantities and are 9.4m pounds under last year. Unclassified pork fell 1.6m pounds from previously reported and is 3.5m pounds under a year earlier, while total loins overall fell 1.4m pounds on the month with both varieties down less than 5% from May and current loin supplies are 1.8m pounds under last year. Trimmings and butts also recorded notable declines, each generally down around 900 thousand pounds, with trimmings 4.8m pounds under a year earlier and butts up 6.2m pounds compared to last year.


Tempering the lower quantities of pork across most categories were another significant seasonal rise in hams supplies. Total hams overall in cold storage rose 16.9m pounds from May stocks, with the bone-in variety up especially more than the boneless variety, while current supplies overall are 10.6m pounds under a year earlier. The category accounting for Other pork climbed 470 thousand pounds on the month and is 4.4m pounds over a year earlier, while bone-in picnics were up 234 thousand pounds for June and 2.2m pounds under last year, and variety meats were nearly unchanged from the previous month and 5.1m pounds over June 2023.
 
 

  July 30, 2024

Weekly Hog Price Recap

Regional and national cash hogs again started the week higher with reductions posted late-week to offset earlier rises, and notably regional cash went unreported Friday when national cash recorded a significant drop. CME cash improved daily, with better gains once again recorded late in the week. Wholesale pork primal values primarily improved, although ribs and butts were again lower (down -3.6% & -1.8%, respectively), supporting US pork cutout $4.60/cwt over the previous week's average.



Monitored Canadian hog markets were generally $6-$13 per hog higher on the week, excluding some markets derived from lagged base pricing. Hogs out Quebec were up the most, surging $13/hog, while Hylife hogs rose $12.20/hog. OlyW 21 hogs were up $7.40/hog, while Ontario hogs improved $7.25/hog, and the ML Sig 4 was up $6.40/hog. OlyW 20 hogs improved $3.80/hog while BP4/TC4 climbed $1/hog. In the US hog values varied, with Tyson hogs down $2.30/hog while JM hogs improved $1.10/hog from the previous week.
 

Weekly Hog Margins

Monitored Canadian hog margins improved on higher hog values despite a jump in feed costs. Canadian farrow-to-finish feed costs rose $3.40/hog while those out of the monitored US region were up $2.14/hog from the previous week.

Ontario hog margins improved $3.85 to $54.15/hog profits, followed by Hylife margins which strengthened $8.80 to $53.55/hog profits. ML Sig 4 margins improved $3 to $51.30/hog profits. Quebec hog margins strengthened $9.60 to $47.40/hog profits, while OlyW 20 margins edged $0.35 higher to $46.25/hog profits and OlyW 21 margins improved $4 to $36.20/hog. In the US hog margins weakened, with Tyson hog margins down $4.45 to $44.60/hog profits and JM margins $1 lower to $42/hog profits for the week.
 

US Regional Margins

  • Tyson: $44.58 USD X 1.3793 = $61.49 in Canadian Dollars
  • Morrell: $41.92 USD X 1.3793 = $57.82 in Canadian Dollars       



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