Weekly Regional HOG PRICE Report

Things to Consider….

The latest data for Canadian domestic pork exports reflected May at 107.7 thousand MT, down –16.0% from the previous month and -12.1% under last year. Overall, pork export values for the same period fell –9.8% from April and is –1.0% under a year earlier.

Total swine carcass and cut exports fell –11.1% to 68.2 thousand MT, bringing current exports –4.5% lower on the year. Overall values fell –9.3% on the month but continue significantly strong compared to year-ago values, up +10.9% over 2023. For perspective, the latest value per unit of $4.22/KGM increased +2.1% from a month earlier and is +16.1% over last year.

Ham exports dropped –27.3% from April levels to 19.6 thousand MT, bringing them –20.7% under last year, while the values of these exports were down –9.9% on the month and –19.3% under year-ago values. For perspective, the latest value per unit at $3.44/KGM surged +24.0% from April and is +1.7% over last year.

Belly exports increased +18.2% to 17.2 thousand MT in the latest data, bringing current exports –11.9% under last year. Belly export values rose +21.3% on the month and are +13.2% over last year. For perspective, the latest value per unit at $8.00/KGM were up +2.6% from April and is +28.6% higher compared to last year.

Pork shoulder exports surged +109.6% for May to 63.2 MT, bringing them +82.7% over last year. For perspective, values per unit at $8.25/KGM edged +0.3% higher on the month but are –17.4% under last year.

Edible swine offal exports dropped –27.8% into May to 9.7 thousand MT, bringing them –27.8% under a year earlier. For perspective, swine offal values per unit of $2.57/KGM increased +6.5% from April and is –3.9% under last year.

For reference, Canadian pork production is estimated to be +20.0% higher from April into May, and +1.3% over last year-to-date. Notably, the percentage of Canadian pork production exported globally is estimated at 50.9% for May, compared to the 12-month average of 63.1%.

  July 23, 2024
 
 
 


Weekly Hog Price Recap

Cash hogs generally started the week higher, excluding the ISM which faced a significant decline due to going unreported the previous Friday when other cash hogs were lower, with all markets again lower this past Friday to weigh the weekly averages down. CME cash improved daily, with better gains late in the week. Wholesale pork primal values primarily improved, although ribs and butts were again lower (down -1.3% & -1.7%, respectively), supporting US pork cutout $4.33/cwt over the previous week's average.



Monitored Canadian hog markets were higher, excluding some derived from lagged base pricing which slipped under values reported a week ago. Hogs out Quebec were up the most, surging $10.25/hog, while Hylife hogs improved $3.55/hog and those out of Ontario were up $2.80/hog. The ML Sig 4 improved $1/hog and the OlyW 21 climbed $0.30/hog higher, while the OlyW 20 fell $1.45/hog and BP4/TC4 was down $2/hog. In the US, Tyson hogs dropped $9.65/hog while JM hogs fell $6.70/hog from the previous week.
 

Weekly Hog Margins

Monitored Canadian hog margins primarily improved on generally higher hog values and lessened feed costs. Farrow-to-finish feed costs dropped $0.90-$1.10/hog on either side of the CAN-US border from the week previous.

Ontario hog margins strengthened $3.75 to $50.30/hog profits, followed by ML Sig 4 margins which improved $2 to $48.30/hog profits. OlyW 20 margins weakened $0.55 to $45.90/hog profits for the week, while Hylife margins were up $4.45 to $44.75/hog profits. Hog margins out of Quebec strengthened $11.15 to $37.80/hog profits, while OlyW 21 margins improved $1.20 to $32.20/hog. In the US, Tyson hog margins weakened $8.55 to $49/hog profits while JM margins fell $5.60 to $43/hog profits for the week.
 

US Regional Margins

  • Tyson: $49.03 USD * 1.3692 = $67.13 CAD
  • Morrell: $42.94 USD * 1.3692 = $58.79 CAD



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